Originally Posted by IDonT4
Fast forward to Desert Storm. Since the Falklands War, many nations have developed more advance IR decoy flares in response to the increase lethality of the all aspect IR missile. The USN, USAF, and USMC fired 48 AIM-9M (more advance version of the AIM-9L) and achieve only 11 kills! This produce a kill ratio of only 23 percent (which is closer to the kill ratio of the pre-all aspect IR missiles).
Do you have a reference for these numbers? I would like to see how they were calculated.
It is very important to look closely at missiles probability of kill (Pk) values in operational environments. The reason is that many times crews will launch multiple missiles to ensure a kill. If the first missile hits the target the other missile(s) may be counted as a miss which artificially lowers the Pk. For example a MiG-25 was destroyed by, Capt Lawrence Pitts on January 19 by an AIM-7 and had an AIM-9 go through the fireball which was launched by another aircraft. (per "Debrief: A complete history of U.S. aerial engagements 1981 to the present
" by Craig Brown). That engagement would show an AIM-9 launched but no kill. In addition there were several “inadvertent” launches based on aircrew error.