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Old 28 Jun 15, 11:48
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The Purist The Purist is offline
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Real Name: Gerry Proudfoot
Join Date: Aug 2004
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The Japanese went to war to take resources they needed to be independent of foreign powers. Their entire strategy was based on an early acquisition of these resources before their industry ground to a halhead the armed forces ran out of fuel.

Forget tinkerbell, it is a flawed argument and does not take into account the actual requirements of the empire and wishes certain elements into existence. The professional Japanese staff officer corps knew what they were doing and were far more successful than they had hoped. Where they failed was in convincing the supreme command that Yamamoto's plans for Midway and later was badly flawed and over extended an already stretched military. Their plan for the Solomons, Fiji, Samoa steps was far more rational and took advantage of Japanese strengths.

And the main strength of the fleet could not remain off Hawaii for long. In Dec 41 most of the Japanese Fleet train was used to support just the six carriers and their very small escort force. The rest of fleet, including the main combat elements had to make do with with what little remanded. Even if the fleet returns to Truk (almost as far from Hawaii as Japan is) instead of Japan, it doesn't help much. Truk had limited repair and service facilities and could not have supported the numbers of ships required for Hawaii. Ships need regular maintenance and servicing every month, especially everything from a heavy cruiser and up. This means only a portion of the fleet can be in station at any one time. Even the USN was unable to maintain large fleets off enemy coastlines for weeks (and even months) until later in 1944 when the proper maintenance ships permitted this to take place at sea.

Hawaii would have been a disaster for the empire whether it was attempted in Dec 41 or Jun-Jul 42. This is not because the US was invincible but rather because the Japanese fleet was simply not capable of that sort of sustained operation and the empire could not leave strategic resources and bases in enemy control.
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Words ought to be a little wild, for they are the assault of thoughts on the unthinking - John Maynard Keynes.

Last edited by The Purist; 29 Jun 15 at 19:47..
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