Armchair General and HistoryNet >> The Best Forums in History

Armchair General and HistoryNet >> The Best Forums in History (http://www.armchairgeneral.com/forums/index.php)
-   South Ossetian Conflict (http://www.armchairgeneral.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=306)
-   -   2009 repeat performance? (http://www.armchairgeneral.com/forums/showthread.php?t=79969)

pp(est) 03 Jul 09 11:27

2009 repeat performance?
 
Since Russia failed in achieving its goals last year a number of experts are predicting a reprisal of last years events. The troops are already in place with the Kavkaz 2009 exercises ongoing. Possibly the best time for the attack would be on or right after July 6 when the exercises end. Doing it right after Obama visit would leave the impression of Obama approval on the move. The toothless response to Iran's events suggest that Obama would at best express grave concern and leave it at that.

I'd give the percentage of this happening at 25%. Russia's economy is in serious trouble and the attack would rattle it further - I'd think Putin is not willing to risk it now. Also I see little evidence of a build-up of incidents that preceded the previous war. Of course that could be fixed quickly.

Erkki 03 Jul 09 16:23

What was it "goals"?

I donīt agree with them.

pp(est) 03 Jul 09 18:04

Then there are two of us. I don't agree with the goals either. Let's go demonstrate!

Erkki 03 Jul 09 18:46

I am demonstrating all I can but nobody notices it...
can you quickly remind me off what I am demonstrating ageist?

pp(est) 03 Jul 09 19:46

The goals of course!

Erkki 03 Jul 09 19:52

So waving a greenpeace flag isnīt going to help much? Curses...

pp(est) 03 Jul 09 20:15

Waving a greenpeace flag won't hurt. You'll do that and I'll wave the Georgian flag and we'll be fine.

Erkki 03 Jul 09 20:36

Well in some way that might make sense...

MV64 04 Jul 09 11:31

Sadly, I could see this. Obama didn't care the first time around he's sure as hell not going to care now. He's not exactly the most concerned with human or civil rights abroad.

Erkki 04 Jul 09 11:37

Now PP(est)I do wonder if you are not mixing Georgia with Russia?

The one who failed with his goals was obiusly Mad Miho...

pp(est) 04 Jul 09 16:27

Georgia's democracy is still in place so Mad Miho is still on track with his goals.

Erkki 04 Jul 09 16:42

Not those goals... "To reastablish constitution order" wasnīt that what they said?

Yes "Democracy"
Det var en annan sjua sa bonden och skrev en femma
=
It was another seven said the farmer and wrote a five.

http://www.russiaotherpointsofview.c.../russian-.html

xiong 08 Jul 09 18:01

Quote:

Originally Posted by pp(est) (Post 1248179)
Possibly the best time for the attack would be on or right after July 6 when the exercises end. Doing it right after Obama visit would leave the impression of Obama approval on the move.

What? Still no attack by today (July 9th)? Obama is away, yet.. Now that's really strange... :confused: Maybe tomorrow?

pp(est) 08 Jul 09 18:50

maybe tomorrow. I hope not though.

Erkki 08 Jul 09 18:56

Have you heard about "Silverarken" and the Korpilombolo sect?


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:49.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.